The World Steel Association consider that global steel demand growth in 2021 will amount to 4.1% (from 1725 million tonnes of finished products in 2020, to 1795 million tonnes in 2021). Even with this uncertainty, we anticipate M&A activity in the metals industry to continue to recover from the lows in the first half of 2020. The spike in steel prices is extraordinary. Global capacity remains well above production and demand. The EIU forecasts global steel production to increase by 4.3 percent in 2018. Today, the steel industry contributes slightly more than 2% to the GDP of the country. Rising demand for consumer goods is likely to drive market growth as stainless steel is resistant to corrosion, exhibits high toughness and ductility, and requires low maintenance. The global stainless steel market size was valued at USD 111.4 billion in 2019 and is anticipated to witness a CAGR of 6.3% in terms of revenue from 2020 to 2027. Next year, interest rate hikes will prevent stocks from growing and dampen steel demand. In 2020 worldsteel forecasts that steel demand will contract by -2.4%, dropping to 1,725.1 Mt due to the COVID-19 pandemic. Steel demand outlook: Forecasts by the World Steel Association (worldsteel), released in October 2018, suggest that global steel demand will continue to grow In January–July 2018, global steel production rose by 5.2 percent year-on-year (by 6.4 percent in China). This is equivalent to a 2021 increase in steel consumption of ~70 million tonnes [See World Steel Association, Short Range Outlook October 2020]. Steel price forecast for 2021. This percentage accounts for direct contribution. In 2021 steel demand is expected to recover to 1,795.1 Mt, an increase of 4.1 % over 2020. The WSA predicts steel demand to drop 6.4% to 1,654 million tons in 2020 due to coronavirus-led lockdowns and disruptions. Commerce publishes: (1) the U.S. Steel Import Monitor combines data from Census and import licenses, updated weekly; (2) the Global Steel Trade Monitor shows trends for top steel trading countries; (3) the Steel Export Monitor shows public U.S. steel export data; and (4) the Downstream Steel Monitor shows U.S. imports/exports of steel-containing products. The COVID-19 pandemic has had a more negative impact on activity in the first half of 2020 than anticipated, and the recovery is projected … Sheet price in the United States has more than doubled since mid-2020 and just set … Many products are up 50–100% since late summer 2020, with the bulk of the increases occurring in November and December 2020. However, steel production is expected to slow down in 2H 2018. However, uncertainty over the trade environment and volatility in the financial markets continue and could pose downside risks to this forecast. The indirect contribution of steel is much larger, owing to the dependence of other sectors. Sales of electric cars topped 2.1 million globally in 2019, surpassing 2018 – already a record year – to boost the stock to 7.2 million electric cars.1 Electric cars, which accounted for 2.6% of global car sales and about 1% of global car stock in 2019, registered a 40% year-on-year increase. A strong recovery in China will mitigate the reduction in global steel … The steel industry employs nearly half a million people directly and two million people indirectly. In our April Short Range Outlook, we forecast that in 2019 and 2020 global steel demand was expected to continue to grow, but growth rates would moderate in tandem with a slowing global economy. global steelmaking capacity, in nominal crude terms, remained nearly unchanged in 2018, following declines in 2016 and 2017. World Economic Outlook Update, June 2020: A Crisis Like No Other, An Uncertain Recovery June 24, 2020 Description: Global growth is projected at –4.9 percent in 2020, 1.9 percentage points below the April 2020 World Economic Outlook (WEO) forecast.
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